“[Baby boomers are] uncertain about how much money they’re going to have and how long it’s going to last. That’s 50 million people that did not have this concern 20 years ago,” Ghilarducci said, explaining that many retirees “have been disappointed” by how their 401(k)s and assets have appreciated.
This dynamic creates a seductive trap for the user. Because the model provides data points that fit the user’s request, the interaction feels productive. In our specific task, the user is not driven to a state where they become unhinged from reality, as the model selects valid examples that fit the true rule. Nevertheless, the mechanism creates a false sense of verification. If a user’s prior is grounded in reality, the model simply narrows their view; but if a user is uncertain or exploring a misconception, the model’s tendency to affirm that misconception can manufacture certainty where there should be doubt. The result is that users become very strongly committed to a belief for which there may only be a small amount of evidence.777This mechanism provides an account of belief maintenance consistent with cognitive models of delusion [bell_explaining_2006].
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比如，美团打造了互联网行业标志性的地推铁军，靠着“早启动、晚分享、强复盘”的闭环管理模式，把“狂拜访、狂上单”的目标落实到每日具体动作。
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